Certor

Marseille – Le Havre

Ligue 1 · October 8, 2023

Marseille 3–0 Le Havre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 60% X · 24% 2 · Le Havre 16%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.81 – 0.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 6, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.