Marseille – Lens
Ligue 1 · April 28, 2024
Marseille
2–1
Lens
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Marseille 40%
X · 29%
2 · Lens 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.11 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 26, 2024.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.