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Marseille – Lens

Ligue 1 · March 8, 2025

Marseille 0–1 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 44% X · 28% 2 · Lens 28%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.46 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.