Marseille – Lorient
Ligue 1 · September 12, 2025
Marseille
4–0
Lorient
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Marseille 68%
X · 19%
2 · Lorient 13%
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 0.95 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 12, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.