Marseille – Lyon
Ligue 1 · March 1, 2026
Marseille
3–2
Lyon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Marseille 49%
X · 23%
2 · Lyon 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.38 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 27, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.