Certor

Marseille – Metz

Ligue 1 · February 9, 2024

Marseille 1–1 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 66% X · 23% 2 · Metz 11%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.90 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 9, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.