Marseille – Metz
Ligue 1 · April 10, 2026
Marseille
3–1
Metz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Marseille 76%
X · 15%
2 · Metz 9%
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 2.56 – 0.77 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 10, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.