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Marseille – Monaco

Ligue 1 · December 14, 2025

Marseille 1–0 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 51% X · 22% 2 · Monaco 27%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.91 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.