Certor

Marseille – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · April 19, 2025

Marseille 5–1 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 65% X · 20% 2 · Montpellier 15%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.27 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.