Certor

Marseille – Nantes

Ligue 1 · January 4, 2026

Marseille 0–2 Nantes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 68% X · 19% 2 · Nantes 13%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals2.12 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.