Certor

Marseille – Nice

Ligue 1 · April 26, 2026

Marseille 1–1 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 55% X · 23% 2 · Nice 22%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.92 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.