Marseille – Paris FC
Ligue 1 · August 23, 2025
Marseille
5–2
Paris FC
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Marseille 44%
X · 28%
2 · Paris FC 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.07 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 22, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.