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Marseille – St Etienne

Ligue 1 · February 15, 2025

Marseille 5–1 St Etienne

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 69% X · 20% 2 · St Etienne 11%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.23 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.