Certor

Marseille – Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · January 19, 2025

Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 55% X · 25% 2 · Strasbourg 20%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.76 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.