Certor

Marseille – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · April 6, 2025

Marseille 3–2 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Marseille 51% X · 27% 2 · Toulouse 22%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.59 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.