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Metz – Lille

Ligue 1 · April 28, 2024

Metz 1–2 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 17% X · 26% 2 · Lille 57%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals0.80 – 1.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.