Certor

Metz – Lille

Ligue 1 · February 6, 2026

Metz 0–0 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 17% X · 22% 2 · Lille 61%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.90 – 1.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.