Metz – Lyon
Ligue 1 · January 25, 2026
Metz
2–5
Lyon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Metz 19%
X · 21%
2 · Lyon 60%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 1.08 – 2.05 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 23, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.