Certor

Metz – Marseille

Ligue 1 · August 18, 2023

Metz 2–2 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 19% X · 26% 2 · Marseille 55%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.86 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 18, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.