Certor

Metz – Marseille

Ligue 1 · October 4, 2025

Metz 0–3 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 16% X · 22% 2 · Marseille 62%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.85 – 1.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.