Certor

Metz – Nice

Ligue 1 · October 7, 2023

Metz 0–1 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 23% X · 28% 2 · Nice 49%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.90 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 6, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.