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Metz – Paris SG

Ligue 1 · December 13, 2025

Metz 2–3 Paris SG

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Metz 8% X · 14% 2 · Paris SG 78%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.82 – 2.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.