Certor

Milan – Bologna

Serie A · January 27, 2024

Milan 2–2 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 60% X · 22% 2 · Bologna 18%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.94 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.