Certor

Milan – Bologna

Serie A · September 14, 2025

Milan 1–0 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 49% X · 26% 2 · Bologna 25%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.65 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.