Certor

Milan – Cagliari

Serie A · January 11, 2025

Milan 1–1 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 67% X · 20% 2 · Cagliari 13%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals2.19 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.