Certor

Milan – Como

Serie A · February 18, 2026

Milan 1–1 Como

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 42% X · 27% 2 · Como 31%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.