Certor

Milan – Fiorentina

Serie A · November 25, 2023

Milan 1–0 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 49% X · 26% 2 · Fiorentina 25%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.58 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.