Milan – Fiorentina
Serie A · October 19, 2025
Milan
2–1
Fiorentina
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Milan 49%
X · 26%
2 · Fiorentina 25%
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.16 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 18, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.