Certor

Milan – Frosinone

Serie A · December 2, 2023

Milan 3–1 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 73% X · 17% 2 · Frosinone 10%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.37 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.