Certor

Milan – Genoa

Serie A · December 15, 2024

Milan 0–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 65% X · 21% 2 · Genoa 14%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals2.04 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.