Certor

Milan – Lazio

Serie A · March 2, 2025

Milan 1–2 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 46% X · 26% 2 · Lazio 28%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.64 – 1.23
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.