Certor

Milan – Napoli

Serie A · February 11, 2024

Milan 1–0 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 35% X · 27% 2 · Napoli 38%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.