Certor

Milan – Parma

Serie A · January 26, 2025

Milan 3–2 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 72% X · 17% 2 · Parma 11%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.58 – 0.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.