Certor

Milan – Pisa

Serie A · October 24, 2025

Milan 2–2 Pisa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 71% X · 21% 2 · Pisa 8%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score35%
Expected goals1.94 – 0.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.