Certor

Milan – Torino

Serie A · August 26, 2023

Milan 4–1 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 55% X · 25% 2 · Torino 20%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.66 – 0.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 26, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.