Certor

Milan – Venezia

Serie A · September 14, 2024

Milan 4–0 Venezia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Milan 80% X · 14% 2 · Venezia 6%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals2.78 – 0.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.