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Monaco – Lille

Ligue 1 · May 10, 2026

Monaco 0–1 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 39% X · 26% 2 · Lille 35%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.