Certor

Monaco – Lyon

Ligue 1 · December 15, 2023

Monaco 0–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 47% X · 23% 2 · Lyon 30%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals1.95 – 1.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.