Monaco – Lyon
Ligue 1 · January 3, 2026
Monaco
1–3
Lyon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Monaco 47%
X · 22%
2 · Lyon 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.49 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 2, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.