Certor

Monaco – Marseille

Ligue 1 · April 5, 2026

Monaco 2–1 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 42% X · 24% 2 · Marseille 34%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.69 – 1.50
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.