Certor

Monaco – Metz

Ligue 1 · October 22, 2023

Monaco 2–1 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 68% X · 19% 2 · Metz 13%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.27 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 20, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.