Certor

Monaco – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · December 3, 2023

Monaco 2–0 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 60% X · 20% 2 · Montpellier 20%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score66%
Expected goals2.32 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.