Certor

Monaco – Nantes

Ligue 1 · February 13, 2026

Monaco 3–1 Nantes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 63% X · 21% 2 · Nantes 16%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.04 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.