Certor

Monaco – Nice

Ligue 1 · October 5, 2025

Monaco 2–2 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monaco 48% X · 24% 2 · Nice 28%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.71 – 1.27
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.