Certor

Montpellier – Le Havre

Ligue 1 · August 13, 2023

Montpellier 2–2 Le Havre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Montpellier 50% X · 24% 2 · Le Havre 26%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.84 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.