Certor

Montpellier – Nice

Ligue 1 · December 15, 2024

Montpellier 2–2 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Montpellier 29% X · 26% 2 · Nice 45%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.