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Montpellier – Paris SG

Ligue 1 · May 10, 2025

Montpellier 1–4 Paris SG

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Montpellier 11% X · 15% 2 · Paris SG 74%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.03 – 2.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.