Certor

Montpellier – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · October 29, 2023

Montpellier 3–0 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Montpellier 46% X · 25% 2 · Toulouse 29%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.74 – 1.36
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 27, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.