Certor

Monza – Cagliari

Serie A · January 5, 2025

Monza 1–2 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 40% X · 30% 2 · Cagliari 30%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.21 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.