Certor

Monza – Empoli

Serie A · May 18, 2025

Monza 1–3 Empoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 37% X · 32% 2 · Empoli 31%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.07 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.